THE EXPECTED ECONOMIC POSSIBILITIES FOR ACHIEVING FOOD SECURITY OF LIBYAN WHEAT

Document Type : Review Article

Authors

Dept. of Economics and Agribusiness, faculty of Agriculture, Alexandria University

Abstract

Wheat is a major strategic commodity in Libya. Wheat is the main item in Libyan meals especially for low income people. Total production of wheat lags behind domestic consumption. The wheat imports amounts to about 1-2 million ton. The problem of the study is the disequilibrium between production and domestic consumption. The research aims at shedding the light on the current situation of wheat in Libya by studying the production, consumption, foreign trade, self-adequacy rate, food security factor. The research concerns also with estimating the possibility of achieving food security factor of wheat until the year 2020. To achieve the objectives,
To achieve the objectives, the study relied on published secondary data and the Central bank of Libya, food and agriculture organization of the united nation (FAO), and some web sites on the internet. As regards the methodology, the study applied both descriptive and statistical analysis methods particularly simple linear regression equations and multiple regression equations in both the linear and double-log forms, using step-wise regression analysis. The study concerns with determination the factors affecting both wheat quantity produced and domestic consumption in Libya. The study concerns with studying 4 assumed scenarios for increasing food security factor and choosing the best one.

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History

  • Receive Date: 27 December 2017
  • Revise Date: 31 March 2018
  • Accept Date: 05 February 2018

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